Capital One Financial Stock Performance
| COF Stock | USD 208.47 2.68 1.30% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.13, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Capital One will likely underperform. At this point, Capital One Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0561%. Please make sure to confirm Capital One's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Capital One Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Capital One Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Capital One is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.3 | Five Day Return 2.06 | Year To Date Return (15.92) | Ten Year Return 210.22 | All Time Return 3.8 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0153 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.2 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 |
| Capital One dividend paid on 1st of December 2025 | 12/01/2025 |
1 | BofA Sees Brex Acquisition Complementing and Expanding Capital Ones Spark Card Offerings | 01/29/2026 |
2 | Capital One Financial Corporation 4.80 percent DP PFD J declares 0.30 dividend | 02/03/2026 |
3 | The 40 million club Big-bank CEO pay hits new heights | 02/12/2026 |
4 | Assessing Capital One Financial Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness | 02/13/2026 |
5 | INVESTIGATION ALERT Edelson Lechtzin LLP Announces Investigation of Capital One Financial Corporation and Encourages Investors with Substantial Losses to Contac... | 02/17/2026 |
6 | Capital One Weighs Legal Scrutiny Against Brex-Fueled Commercial Growth Potential | 02/18/2026 |
7 | Disney Inspire Visa Card review Disney-forward perks with limited flexibility | 02/19/2026 |
8 | OneStream, Inc. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts | 02/20/2026 |
9 | Capital One Slips As Private Credit Jitters Spread | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 43.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -444 M |
Capital One Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 21,953 in Capital One Financial on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,106) from holding Capital One Financial or give up 5.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. Capital One Financial is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.4379% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Capital, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Capital One Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 208.47 | 90 days | 208.47 | about 87.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital One to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.79 (This Capital One Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Capital One Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital One Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital One Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Capital One Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital One Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capital One has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Capital One Slips As Private Credit Jitters Spread |
Capital One Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 541.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.1 B |
Capital One Fundamentals Growth
Capital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Capital One, and Capital One fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Capital Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0239 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0036 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 129.72 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 625.1 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 5.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.23 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.04 X | ||||
| Revenue | 69.25 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 32.78 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 7.54 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.45 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.05 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 73.50 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 555.39 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.07 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 173.11 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 27.72 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.36 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 132.53 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 669.01 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 65.19 B | ||||
About Capital One Performance
By analyzing Capital One's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Capital One's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Capital One has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Capital One has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Things to note about Capital One Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital One Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capital One has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Capital One Slips As Private Credit Jitters Spread |
- Analyzing Capital One's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Capital One's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Capital One's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Capital One's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Capital One's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Capital One's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Capital One's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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